![]() ![]() ![]() Now, people generally are more cognizant of the potential offensiveness of such statements. Your explanation about Stram's commentary during Super Bowl IV, which was 36 years ago, proves my point: 30 years ago, people didn't think twice about making such a comment, probably because they didn't realize or think about what the statement implied. And I think you missed an opportunity to bring an "Outsider" perspective to the story by using the FO stats to talk about how likely the lack of a challenge was to make a difference, rather than succumbing to the gambler's fallacy.ĭoug, I'm not personally offended, but I just thought I would point out that many people would be offended by the term. I agree that "what America is taking away from the game" is the call not getting challenged - but I think you're overstating the probability that it made a difference. ![]() From that, I'd estimate the probability of the Steelers getting a TD had Saban's challenge been seen at somewhere between 80% and 85% their probability of kicking a field goal at somewhere between 10% and 15% and their probability of not scoring at somewhere less than 5%. Aside from three that ended with QB kneels, there were 54 TDs, 9 FGs, and only two drives that resulted in the offense getting 0 points. I don't have FO's legendary database of every play, but I can tell you that in the past three seasons, 68 drives began on the opponent's 5-yard line or closer. So do you have any, like, statistics to back that up? I mean, you do write for FO, right? What is the probability of a series beginning with a first-and-goal from the five or closer resulting in the offense getting no points? "Losing those extra three or four yards and making the Steelers punch the ball in would have had the potential to be a difference-maker, especially given the fact that in the previous Steeler drive, Batch fumbled a snap on the Miami 4 and the Dolphins recovered." ![]()
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